LC-Ge · Kinematic Capability Profiles

Kinematic Capability Profile

# Kinematic Capability Profile

**LRRK Watch / Nation-state actor profile** — STIX 2.1 threat-actor fields applied to systems that sense, move, and act.

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Collection cutoff | 3 July 2024 |
| Platform | Quiet Systems |
| Data label | Open-source intelligence // LRRK analytic product |
| Handling | Public-source material. Image rights require separate verification before publication. |
| Actor | Montenegro |
| Short name | ME |
| UN membership | Member |
| Profile depth | documented |

## Executive read

### BLUF

Montenegro’s named kinematic object is an imported Slovenian Belin-V / Bramor tactical ISR UAS handed over at Podgorica on 2 July 2024 — Sense, not Act.

### Key judgments

1. **[Assessment — High confidence]** Slovenian Defence Minister Šarec handed over Belin-V systems purchased government-to-government for Montenegro; C-Astral demonstrated the system.
2. **[Assessment — Moderate confidence]** Belin-V is a Bramor-family tactical ISR UAS (catapult, EO/IR, ~40 km class in contemporary reporting).
3. **[Uncertainty]** Adria Defense’s 2025 US FMF domestic-production claim is single-source relative to this filing and is not inventoried as a factory Fact.

### Analytic labels

- **Fact** — verified reporting or primary record
- **Assessment** — analytic judgment
- **Inference** — reasoned but not directly observed
- **Uncertainty** — unresolved information gap

### Source grades

- **A1** — authoritative primary record / directly confirmed
- **B1–B2** — generally reliable and corroborated
- **C3** — useful but requires caution

## Identity

STIX 2.1 Identity + Threat Actor. Values from the open vocabularies only.

| STIX field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| name | Montenegro |
| aliases | Crna Gora / Army of Montenegro |
| identity_class | organization |
| threat_actor_types | nation-state |
| roles | sponsor |
| resource_level | nation-state |
| sophistication | minimal |
| primary_motivation | organizational-gain |
| secondary_motivations | ideology |
| goals | Sourced: reconnaissance, observation, aerial supervision; border, traffic, sea, SAR language at handover. Uncertainty: armed UAS goals. |


## Intent and targeting

**[Fact]** Deputy PM Bečić: UAVs matter for defence, border control, traffic, sea movements, missing persons, investigations, emergencies. **[Assessment]** Intent is multi-agency Sense, not a sourced strike program.

## Capability — Sense

**[Fact]** Slovenian Army description (via Boscarol): image data for tactical intelligence support to commanders. **[Assessment]** Sense is mini-tactical ISR.

## Capability — Move

**[Fact]** Handover at Knjaz Danilo military airport / Podgorica airport reporting. **[Assessment]** Catapult / parachute class typical of Belin-V; endurance figures left to manufacturer pages not required here. **[Uncertainty]** Number of air vehicles in the 2024 handover package is not taken from a paywalled Jane’s line.

## Capability — Act

**[Uncertainty]** not established. Unarmed ISR in the handover language.

## Inventory

| Domain | Status | Named systems (sourced) | Notes |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Air UAS | documented | Belin-V (C-Astral / Bramor family) | G2G via Slovenia; handover 2 July 2024 |
| Surface USV | not established |  | Collection gap |
| Subsurface UUV / ROV | not established |  | Collection gap |
| C-UAS | not established |  | Collection gap |

## Industrial base and supply chain

**[Fact]** Producer C-Astral (Slovenia); Slovenia as contracting agent. **[Assessment]** Passport is a regional NATO import. **[Uncertainty]** 2025 US-firm production partnership (Adria Defense 11 August 2026) is not independently corroborated in sources used for inventory.

## Observed employment

**[Fact]** Demonstration flight at handover. **[Uncertainty]** Subsequent operational sorties are not established.

## Relationships

- `attributed-to` — Ministry of Defence of Montenegro / Army of Montenegro.
- `uses` — C-Astral Belin-V.
- `related-to` — Slovenia (G2G procurement).

## LRRK turn-back

Moves **Sense / Move** and **Passport**. No Act. Watch is coastal/border awareness if the system is used as Bečić described.

## Forward indicators

- Raise: a second Belin tranche; a named US FMF factory; a C-UAS buy.
- Lower: systems unused.
- Reclassify: remains documented while Belin-V is named.

## Sources

Numbered. Named outlet, date, URL, grade. Dead or unverified links are a form defect.

1. Boscarol, 3 July 2024, https://boscarol.si/en/minister-sarec-handed-over-the-c-astral-drones-to-montenegro/ — B1–B2
2. Vijesti, Bečić on Belin V handover, https://en.vijesti.me/news-b/politika/714076/becic-acquisition-of-drones-is-a-big-deal-for-the-modernization-of-the-army-of-Montenegro — B1–B2
3. United Nations, Member States list, https://www.un.org/en/about-us/member-states — A1

> **Collection integrity.** Adria Defense 11 August 2026 US-production sentence is not used to name a factory. Collection cutoff is the latest dated handover source used (3 July 2024). `not established` is a gap.

*LRRK — security assurance for systems that sense, move, and act.*

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