LC-Ge · Kinematic Capability Profiles

Kinematic Capability Profile

# Kinematic Capability Profile

**LRRK Watch / Nation-state actor profile** — STIX 2.1 threat-actor fields applied to systems that sense, move, and act.

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Collection cutoff | 3 July 2026 |
| Platform | Quiet Systems |
| Data label | Open-source intelligence // LRRK analytic product |
| Handling | Public-source material. Image rights require separate verification before publication. |
| Actor | Georgia |
| Short name | GE |
| UN membership | Member |
| Profile depth | documented |

## Executive read

### BLUF

Georgia’s named kinematic objects are Polish WB types assembled locally (FlyEye ISR, Warmate loitering munition) — a thin Control Fabric that later public analysis says has not shown serial follow-through.

### Key judgments

1. **[Assessment — High confidence]** Civil.ge (27 January 2023) reported government-attended test flights of Warmate and FlyEye built by Delta-WB (Delta International + WB Electronics).
2. **[Assessment — Moderate confidence]** Geopolitical Monitor (3 July 2026) assesses Georgia as behind Armenia and Azerbaijan, with no dedicated unmanned branch and no drones at the 26 May 2026 parade.
3. **[Inference — Moderate confidence]** The 2023 training-center and “hundreds a year” language was industrial intent, not a 2026 proven output Fact.

### Analytic labels

- **Fact** — verified reporting or primary record
- **Assessment** — analytic judgment
- **Inference** — reasoned but not directly observed
- **Uncertainty** — unresolved information gap

### Source grades

- **A1** — authoritative primary record / directly confirmed
- **B1–B2** — generally reliable and corroborated
- **C3** — useful but requires caution

## Identity

STIX 2.1 Identity + Threat Actor. Values from the open vocabularies only.

| STIX field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| name | Georgia |
| aliases | საქართველო / Defense Forces of Georgia / Ministry of Defence |
| identity_class | organization |
| threat_actor_types | nation-state |
| roles | sponsor / director |
| resource_level | nation-state |
| sophistication | intermediate |
| primary_motivation | organizational-gain |
| secondary_motivations | ideology |
| goals | Sourced (2023): local UAV production and operator training. Uncertainty: 2026 in-service counts. |


## Intent and targeting

**[Fact]** 2023 government line: develop local drone production and retrain defence personnel. **[Assessment]** Intent was a modest ISR-plus-loitering layer. **[Uncertainty]** 2026 force-design for unmanned systems is not established on a fetched MoD page (mod.gov.ge timed out).

## Capability — Sense

**[Fact]** FlyEye demonstrated as an intelligence UAV. **[Uncertainty]** 2026 sensor inventory is not established.

## Capability — Move

**[Fact]** Demonstration flights at Krtsanisi (2023). **[Uncertainty]** Endurance/range in Georgian service not established.

## Capability — Act

**[Fact]** Warmate demonstrated as a loitering munition. **[Assessment]** Act was exhibited in 2023. **[Uncertainty]** Combat employment and 2026 stocks are not established.

## Inventory

| Domain | Status | Named systems (sourced) | Notes |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Air UAS | documented | FlyEye; Warmate | 2023 tests / local assembly; 2026 serial status Uncertainty |
| Surface USV | not established |  | Collection gap |
| Subsurface UUV / ROV | not established |  | Collection gap |
| C-UAS | not established |  | Collection gap |

## Industrial base and supply chain

**[Fact]** Delta-WB LLC: WB Electronics SA (Poland) and Delta International LLC (Georgian state manufacturer). **[Assessment]** Passport is Polish designs, Georgian assembly. **[Uncertainty]** Geopolitical Monitor finds no follow-up serial-production announcement after summer 2023 plans.

## Observed employment

**[Fact]** 2023 demonstration. **[Fact]** 26 May 2026 parade did not publicly show drones (Geopolitical Monitor). **[Uncertainty]** Unit-level use after 2023 handover reporting (unfetched MoD 2023 news) is a gap.

## Relationships

- `attributed-to` — Ministry of Defence / Defense Forces of Georgia.
- `uses` — WB FlyEye and Warmate (2023).
- `related-to` — Poland (WB Group).

## LRRK turn-back

Moves **Sense / Act** as 2023 objects, **Control Fabric** as a JV, and **Watch** as a negative 2026 parade indicator. No Campaign.

## Forward indicators

- Raise: a 2026 MoD acceptance or parade appearance.
- Lower: JV silence continues.
- Reclassify toward baseline: if 2023 types cannot be shown as still in service.

## Sources

Numbered. Named outlet, date, URL, grade. Dead or unverified links are a form defect.

1. Civil Georgia, 27 January 2023, https://civil.ge/archives/522738 — B1–B2
2. Geopolitical Monitor, 3 July 2026, https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/unmanned-arms-race-integrating-drone-warfare-in-the-south-caucasus/ — B1–B2
3. United Nations, Member States list, https://www.un.org/en/about-us/member-states — A1

> **Collection integrity.** mod.gov.ge 2023 handover page timed out; Civil.ge is used. US Georgia National Guard stories are out of scope. `not established` is a gap.

*LRRK — security assurance for systems that sense, move, and act.*

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