# Kinematic Capability Profile

**LRRK Watch / Nation-state actor profile** — STIX 2.1 threat-actor fields applied to systems that sense, move, and act.

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Collection cutoff | 2025 |
| Platform | Quiet Systems |
| Data label | Open-source intelligence // LRRK analytic product |
| Handling | Public-source material. Image rights require separate verification before publication. |
| Actor | Tonga |
| Short name | TO |
| UN membership | Member |
| Profile depth | baseline |

## Executive read

### BLUF

Tonga is a UN member whose fetched public kinematic record does not name a military UAS, USV, UUV, or C-UAS type. The 2025 ICAO Pacific UAS workshop is regional Control Fabric context, not this state’s inventory.

### Key judgments

1. **[Fact]** Tonga is a UN member (admission date on the UN Member States register).
2. **[Assessment — Low confidence]** Pacific civil-aviation authorities are discussing UAS/RPAS integration (Samoa 2025 ICAO briefing); that briefing does not name a TO military type.
3. **[Uncertainty]** State kinematic inventory is not established.

### Analytic labels

- **Fact** — verified reporting or primary record
- **Assessment** — analytic judgment
- **Inference** — reasoned but not directly observed
- **Uncertainty** — unresolved information gap

### Source grades

- **A1** — authoritative primary record / directly confirmed
- **B1–B2** — generally reliable and corroborated
- **C3** — useful but requires caution

## Identity

STIX 2.1 Identity + Threat Actor. Values from the open vocabularies only.

| STIX field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| name | Tonga |
| aliases | Kingdom of Tonga; His Majesty's Armed Forces |
| identity_class | organization |
| threat_actor_types | nation-state |
| roles | sponsor |
| resource_level | nation-state |
| sophistication | none |
| primary_motivation | organizational-gain |
| secondary_motivations | none established |
| goals | Uncertainty |

## Intent and targeting

**[Uncertainty]** Named military kinematic missions are not established. The 2025 Pacific briefing lists generic civil use-cases (disaster response, environmental monitoring, border surveillance) as regional opportunities, not as this state’s operations.

## Capability — Sense

**[Uncertainty]** Not established.

## Capability — Move

**[Uncertainty]** Not established.

## Capability — Act

**[Uncertainty]** Not established. Status only: no Act inventory on fetched pages.

## Inventory

| Domain | Status | Named systems (sourced) | Notes |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Air UAS | not established |  | Regional civil-UAS discussion only |
| Surface USV | not established |  |  |
| Subsurface UUV / ROV | not established |  |  |
| C-UAS | not established |  |  |

## Industrial base and supply chain

**[Uncertainty]** No manufacturer or military import is established on a fetched page.

## Observed employment

**[Uncertainty]** State employment of a named kinematic type is not established.

## Relationships

- `attributed-to` — Tonga (Identity: organization).
- `related-to` — ICAO (civil UAS model regulations; APAC workshop neighbourhood).

## LRRK turn-back

Watch only. Passport would move if this state implements ICAO Model UAS Parts 101/102/149 or names a type. Sense/Move/Act are not earned.

## Forward indicators

- A defence-force, police, or civil-aviation primary naming a state-operated type.
- A donor handover with a type name that fetches cleanly.
- A national C-UAS rule or effector.

## Sources

1. United Nations, Member States, https://www.un.org/en/about-us/member-states — A1
2. ICAO, Model UAS Regulations (living page), https://www.icao.int/UA/icao-model-uas-regulations — A1
3. Civil Aviation Division of Samoa / ICAO Asia-Pacific UAS Workshop, 2025, https://www.icao.int/sites/default/files/APAC/Meetings/2025/2025%20UAS%20WS/02-Presentation/Day%202/Day-2_4_Samoa-UAS_RPAS-Integration-in-Pacific-States.pdf — A1

> **Collection integrity.** No TO military type named on fetched pages. Workshop month/day not printed on the fetched PDF; cutoff is the 2025 workshop year used as the latest dated regional source. `not established` is a gap, not safety.

*LRRK — security assurance for systems that sense, move, and act.*

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