# Kinematic Capability Profile **LRRK Watch / Nation-state actor profile** — STIX 2.1 threat-actor fields applied to systems that sense, move, and act. | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Collection cutoff | 28 May 2026 | | Platform | Quiet Systems | | Data label | Open-source intelligence // LRRK analytic product | | Handling | Public-source material. Image rights require separate verification before publication. | | Actor | Poland | | Short name | PL | | UN membership | Member | | Profile depth | documented | ## Executive read ### BLUF Warsaw is buying indigenous WB Group Sense/Act at European scale — GLADIUS batteries, ~200 FLYEYE reconnaissance systems, hundreds of WARMATE loitering sets, on top of a 2025 framework for nearly 10,000 WARMATE munitions — to hold a national reconnaissance-strike fabric. ### Key judgments 1. **[Assessment — High confidence]** On 28 May 2026 the Armament Agency signed three SAFE-funded contracts with WB Group for 12 GLADIUS battery-level fire units (to 2030), 190 FLYEYE UAS, and more than 400 WARMATE loitering-munition systems (WB Group). 2. **[Assessment — High confidence]** A separate framework (WB Group “10,000 Warmates”) covers nearly 1,000 WARMATE sets / nearly 10,000 munitions through 2035; WARMATE entered Polish Army service in 2017. 3. **[Uncertainty]** Bayraktar TB2 and MQ-9 in Polish service appear in market notes that were not fetched and are unnamed here. ### Analytic labels - **Fact** — verified reporting or primary record - **Assessment** — analytic judgment - **Inference** — reasoned but not directly observed - **Uncertainty** — unresolved information gap ### Source grades - **A1** — authoritative primary record / directly confirmed - **B1–B2** — generally reliable and corroborated - **C3** — useful but requires caution ## Identity STIX 2.1 Identity + Threat Actor. Values from the open vocabularies only. | STIX field | Value | | --- | --- | | name | Poland | | aliases | Republic of Poland | | identity_class | organization | | threat_actor_types | nation-state | | roles | director, sponsor | | resource_level | nation-state | | sophistication | advanced | | primary_motivation | organizational-gain | | secondary_motivations | dominance | | goals | Equip operational and Territorial Defence forces with indigenous ISR and loitering strike; scale WARMATE through 2035 | ## Intent and targeting **[Fact]** WB Group: FLYEYE to operational forces, Territorial Defence Forces, and for the first time reconnaissance platoons of tank battalions. WARMATE is designed to identify and engage targets including lightly armoured vehicles and infantry, warhead-dependent. Named mission is national force ISR-strike, not a foreign campaign. ## Capability — Sense **[Fact]** FLYEYE is an unmanned reconnaissance system developed in Gliwice. GLADIUS is a reconnaissance-strike unmanned system at battery level. Sensor details beyond “reconnaissance” are not on the fetched contract pages. ## Capability — Move **[Fact]** Deliveries: GLADIUS 12 batteries by 2030; FLYEYE 190 systems; WARMATE 400+ systems under the May 2026 contracts. Framework to 2035 for munitions. Launch class is tactical / loitering, not MALE. ## Capability — Act **[Fact]** WARMATE: HEAT, HEFI, and thermobaric warhead options, day/night; stand-alone or vehicle-integrated (framework page). Combat-tested “in conflicts of varying intensity” per WB Group — theaters not named on that page. Status only. ## Inventory | Domain | Status | Named systems (sourced) | Notes | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Air UAS | documented | FLYEYE; GLADIUS; WARMATE | TB2/MQ-9 not named without fetch. | | Surface USV | not established | | | | Subsurface UUV / ROV | not established | | | | C-UAS | not established | | | ## Industrial base and supply chain **[Fact]** WB GROUP / WB Electronics; plants and sites named by the company include Ożarów Mazowiecki (signing). EU SAFE instrument finances the May 2026 trio. Control Fabric is indigenous loitering munitions at NATO-member scale. Passport is WB Group exports to “NATO armies and other European and Asian users” (framework page) — customers not listed. ## Observed employment **[Fact]** WARMATE in Polish Army service since 2017, additional orders 2022. Foreign combat-test claim is manufacturer language without a named theater on the fetched page — **C3**. ## Relationships - `attributed-to` Poland (Identity, `organization`) - `uses` WB Group FLYEYE / WARMATE / GLADIUS - `related-to` European Union (SAFE financing) ## LRRK turn-back Sense is FLYEYE. Act is WARMATE and GLADIUS. Control Fabric is SAFE-funded indigenous production. Watch tank-battalion FLYEYE fielding. No Campaign object. ## Forward indicators Raise: first GLADIUS battery IOC; a fetched MoND page naming TB2/MQ-9 that would widen MALE Sense. Lower: SAFE disbursement delay. Reclassify C-UAS when a Polish type is fetched. ## Sources 1. WB GROUP, 28 May 2026 contracts, https://www.wbgroup.pl/en/aktualnosci/gladius-flyeye-and-warmate-the-largest-unmanned-systems-contracts-ever-signed/ — A1 2. WB GROUP, 10,000 Warmates framework, https://www.wbgroup.pl/en/aktualnosci/10000-warmates-for-poland/ — A1 > **Collection integrity.** TB2 and MQ-9 Polish inventory was not attached to a fetched official URL. USV/UUV/C-UAS are gaps. Manufacturer combat-test language is not a theater Fact. *LRRK — security assurance for systems that sense, move, and act.*

L-CGe